Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Jewish Voter Support For Obama Continues To Drop

Barack . . . don't screw this up.

I reported last week on a few reasons that Jewish support for Obama is dwindling.  Here is a new report from Secure America Now, the combined bipartisan effort of John McLaughlin (of McLaughlin & Associates) and Pat Caddell (former pollster for Jimmy Carter) that shows a continuation of that trend: 
Secure America Now has just released a new poll showing that only 43 percent of Jews plan to vote to reelect Obama in 2012.  If this holds, it would be a considerable drop from the 78 percent of the Jewish vote Obama received in 2008, and from the standard 75–80 percent of the Jewish vote that Democratic political strategists have come to expect and rely upon.
The bipartisan poll . . . also found that Obama is likely to have particular trouble with Jews in the all-important state of Florida, as only 34 percent of Florida’s Jews would vote to reelect him.
Florida is one of the must-win states in 2012, particularly since North Carolina and Indiana are showing a swing to the red column.  Another significant finding:
. . . Obama’s worst showing in the poll was among Jews under 40. Sixty-one percent of these younger Jews reported that they planned to vote for someone other than Obama for president in 2012.
As age by and large trends to more conservative leanings, this could spell trouble for the Democrats not just in 2012, but it would be an increasing problem in the out-lying years.

As expected, the Left is quickly trying to discredit the poll, but is left with attacking the group itself and not its actual methodology, results, or conclusions, as in this silly little example from ThinkProgress.

Combine this with a fall-off in campaign contributions, despite strong efforts on the part of Obama and company.  The current news touts last quarter’s haul of some $47 million but tends to submerge the fact that the goal was $60 million.  Bryan Preston of Pajamas Media gives a good assessment, including:
Yes, it’s true that the Republicans combined raised less.  It’s also true that none of them are the sitting president.  In fact, none of them is even the nominee, and we’re still months ahead of the usual campaign timeline.

I would say that the glass still looks half empty for Obama.

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